Research Objective: To comprehensively assess the transformation of the Verkhovna Rada of the IX convocation’s activities over its 7-year term (2019-2026); to analyze the dynamics of factional discipline, the change in the role model of the “mono-majority,” the consequences of the majoritarian system crisis, and the level of Ukraine’s fulfillment of European integration obligations (Ukraine Facility instrument, Kachka-Kos plan).

Implementers: “Holka” Public Initiative within the framework of the “You Have the Power to Recharge the Country” (RechargeUA) project. Support and

Information Partnership: The research was prepared with the support of the National Endowment for Democracy (NED). Information partner – “Glavcom” publication.

Covered Timeframe: From August 29, 2019, to August 2026.

The analytical work is based exclusively on public and open-source information, processed using proprietary digital solutions:

Vote.Holka digital data analysis service (votes.holka.org): a tool of the “Holka” public initiative, used to extract, aggregate, and systematize the entire array of roll-call votes.

Official website of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine: primary roll-call results of all votes over 7 years, registration cards of draft laws, information on the composition of factions and parliamentary groups.

Data from the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine and official monitoring of the Ukraine Facility Plan: a list of 41 adopted and control laws aimed at fulfilling the conditions for the €50 billion EU financial support.

Data from the Central Election Commission and the VRU Apparatus: statistics regarding 71 MPs who lost their mandates, information on 47 vacant single-mandate constituencies, and frontline/temporarily occupied territories.

Sociological surveys: materials from monitoring surveys by the Sociological Group “Rating” commissioned by the International Republican Institute (IRI) for various months in 2024-2026.

To study the dataset encompassing hundreds of thousands of roll-call votes, a combination of analytical methods was applied:

A. Automated Processing and Classification via Vote.Holka

Primary data collection and initial structuring were carried out automatically using the Vote.Holka digital service. The tool retrieves roll-call votes and classifies them by thematic areas, factions, and majoritarian constituencies.

B. Quantitative Analysis and Mathematical Modeling

Median measurement of “FOR” votes: To objectively illustrate the evolution of the “Servant of the People” faction (from the era of the “mad printer” to “war fatigue”), the monthly and annual median of votes was calculated. Using the median instead of the arithmetic mean helped smooth out distortions caused by amendment spam (outliers).

Metrics of “auxiliary” and “decisive” votes:

Auxiliary votes: instances where a faction/group added its votes to the general pool alongside other forces to overcome the 226-vote threshold.

Decisive votes: situations where the absence of votes from a specific faction or group would make the final result lower than 226 ($Total – Group < 226$), which identifies the actual “savior” of a draft law.

Voting Power Index (Banzhaf Power Index): John Banzhaf III’s mathematical model was applied to assess not merely the number of votes cast, but the actual influence and potential of each faction/group to form a decisive majority across various thematic sectors (personnel issues, European integration, economy).

C. The “Political Trail” Principle

A combined approach was used to analyze the votes, depending on the research objective:

Fixed composition at the time of voting: applied to calculate the mono-majority’s ability to independently provide 226+ votes for signed laws, as well as during the analysis of the reasons for parliamentary personnel losses (to accurately reflect an MP’s affiliation on the date of the event).

Current composition (as of July-August 2026) and the “political trail” principle: applied for the overall assessment of faction and group discipline. This allows for preserving the political accountability of parties and formed parliamentary groups (in particular, those based on the former OPZZh – “Platform for Life and Peace” and “Restoration of Ukraine”) for the activities of all politicians who are currently in their ranks.

Within the methodological framework of the RechargeUA project, laws and votes were classified according to the criteria of socio-political significance:

Landmark votes: categorization into beneficial (green) and harmful/risky (red) initiatives based on public statements by NGOs, petitions, corruption risk analytics, and the requirements of the European integration Ukraine Plan.

Personal “MP’s Battery”: evaluation of a politician’s individual activity (voting “for,” “against,” “abstained,” as well as the use of sabotage – “pulling out cards” and intentional absence).

Web version of the data tool: https://votes.holka.org/

Obtaining full datasets: Analytical data arrays and tables in Excel/JSON formats are provided upon request via email: ngo.holka@gmail.com.

Disclaimer: In the event of any technical discrepancies or the need to clarify data, stakeholders may send an official inquiry to the “Holka” NGO for review and response.